Case Study · The Market Proof · OpenTable Verified

When the market
fell 9%,
this venue
grew 33%.

A single percentage is easy to claim. This is something harder to argue with: a third-party benchmark of 80+ competing venues in the same neighbourhood, the same time window, verified by OpenTable. Two lines going in opposite directions. One explanation.

+33%
Covers · active phase
−9%
Market · same period
42pt
Spread vs benchmark
84
Venues benchmarked
Why Percentages Alone Don't Prove Anything

+33% means nothing
without knowing what
everyone else did.

A restaurant that grows 10% in a year where the market grows 15% is losing ground. A restaurant that grows 33% in a year where the market falls 9% is doing something the market cannot explain. The difference between those two stories is a benchmark.

OpenTable publishes neighbourhood-level cover data across all participating venues. For Dublin's South City Centre corridor, this benchmark spans every direct competitor — 70 venues at engagement start, expanding to 84 as new restaurants opened. Every metric in this case study is measured against that same benchmark, in the same time window, verified by the same platform.

This matters because digital marketing is full of single-number claims. "We grew covers by X%" tells you almost nothing about whether the work contributed to that or whether the whole market was rising and the venue simply rode the tide. The benchmark strips that ambiguity out entirely.

What the benchmark shows here: in the period when the digital infrastructure was being built and deployed, this venue outperformed the market by 42 points. The market was contracting. The venue was growing. Those two facts, verified by OpenTable data, are the case for this engagement. Not a percentage. A comparison.

The honest version of a 33% claim
The market fell 9% in the same window. This venue grew 33%.
Data source OpenTable platform
Benchmark venues 70 → 84 (South City Centre)
Window Aug 2024 – Mar 2025
Venue growth +33% YoY
Market growth −9% YoY
Spread +42 points
A 42-point spread is not noise. It is not a good month. Across 75 competing venues in the same neighbourhood, the direction reversed and held for two sustained periods.
The Visual Evidence

Two lines.
Same market.
Opposite directions.

Cover performance indexed to Jan 2024 baseline. Both lines move in the same direction before August 2024. After August 2024, they separate. That is the inflection point.

Cover performance vs market benchmark
Jan 2024 – Jan 2026 · Indexed to 100
flagship engagement
South City Centre market (70–84 venues)
100 140 60 Aug 2024 · Engagement begins 42pt Jan '24 Apr Aug Jan '25 Jun Jan '26
Jan – Jul 2024 · Before
Both lines move together. Venue declining with market.
Aug 2024 – Mar 2025 · Active build
Lines diverge. Venue climbs, market contracts. 42-point spread opens.
Apr 2025 – Jan 2026 · Sustained
Gap holds. Venue +21% above market, market +5%. Spread sustained.
Period by Period

Three windows.
Three very different
competitive realities.

All cover data sourced directly from the venue's OpenTable account. Benchmark: South City Centre neighbourhood. No estimates — platform-verified figures throughout.

Before engagement
Jan – Jul 2024
Moving with
the market.
flagship engagement
−7%
YoY covers
Market (70 venues)
−15%
YoY covers
+8pt ahead of market — but falling
23,145 covers in the period. Declining, but slower than the market. No map pack presence. No managed citations. Domain Authority 15. The digital infrastructure that connects a searcher to this venue had not been built.
Active build phase
Aug 2024 – Mar 2025
The lines
diverge.
flagship engagement
+33%
YoY covers
Market (75 venues)
−9%
YoY covers
+42pt outperformance — the key signal
38,523 covers. The market contracted while this venue grew. Citations built. GBP restructured. Pack positions begin emerging. The timing is consistent with the infrastructure becoming active and search signals strengthening.
Sustained growth
Apr 2025 – Jan 2026
The gap
holds.
flagship engagement
+21%
YoY covers
Market (84 venues)
+5%
YoY covers
+16pt sustained above market
53,545 covers. Market returned to modest growth — venue grew four times faster. Per-cover spend €62.99 — 14% above market benchmark. 7 Maps Pack positions active. Organic sessions +32% YoY.
42pt
What built the
42-point spread.
Four channels became active simultaneously during the Aug 2024–Mar 2025 window. Each feeds the same funnel: discovery → profile action → reservation. The 42-point spread is the downstream output of all four working together — not any single one in isolation.
OpenTable network
16,600+
Discovery covers · 2025
Guests who found the venue through OpenTable's network — not direct search, not brand awareness. Pure discovery, driven by platform visibility built through citation work.
Google Business Profile
766K
Profile views · full year 2025
73,000+ actions taken. 19,600+ direction requests — the highest-intent signal before a physical visit. 3,405 direct calls. Maps Mobile at 75% of all views: the primary discovery surface for a Dublin restaurant.
Organic search
+32%
Organic sessions YoY
67,046 organic sessions in full year 2025. 72% of all website traffic. US visitors +54% — the fastest-growing segment. DA grew from 15 → 44 over the engagement period, compounding monthly.
TripAdvisor
+255%
Confirmed bookings YoY
213 confirmed bookings vs prior year. Unique page visitors +114%. The conversion paradox: impressions fell 39%, bookings rose 255% — a smaller, more relevant, higher-intent audience converting at an entirely different rate.
Understanding the Benchmark

84 venues.
Same streets.
Same conditions.

The benchmark is not a fabricated comparison. It is every participating venue in the same South City Centre OpenTable neighbourhood — growing from 70 to 84 as new restaurants opened over the engagement period.

The market context matters for honest interpretation. The South City Centre benchmark spent most of 2024 contracting — all 70+ competing venues were declining simultaneously. This was not a uniquely bad period for one restaurant. It was a market-wide condition.

In that environment, growing +33% is not about having a good menu or good service — every restaurant in the neighbourhood has those things. It is specifically about what happens when a guest who doesn't already know the venue searches "restaurants Dublin city centre" on Google Maps at 7pm and decides where to eat. Digital visibility determines who they find.

By Period 3, the market had recovered modestly to +5%. flagship engagement grew at +21%. The gap narrowed from 42 points but did not close — because the infrastructure that drove the Period 2 divergence continued to compound. Every month of citation authority, link profile, and pack position consolidation adds to the structural advantage.

Benchmark venues by period
Jan – Jul 2024
Before engagement
70
Aug 2024 – Mar 2025
Active phase
75
Apr 2025 – Jan 2026
Sustained
84
The benchmark grew as the market grew — more competing venues, not fewer. Outperforming a field that expanded from 70 to 84 venues is a harder test than beating the same field twice. The spread held and narrowed only modestly.
Full year 2025 summary
Total covers 61,000+
YoY growth +25% · +12,503 covers
Market growth +5% (84 venues)
Per-cover spend €62.99
Market benchmark spend €55.10
Premium per cover +€7.89 / +14%
The Full Picture

Every metric that
fed the result.

Cover data is the output. Here is what fed it — the visibility, authority, and discovery infrastructure built over 18 months that made the benchmark comparison possible.

Domain authority
44
Moz DA — was 15
+29 points over 18 months. Linking domains 125 → 470 (+276%). Spam score 7.8% → 5.2% high-risk. Ahrefs DR 54. Trust Flow 16, improving. Every ranking position held depends on this foundation.
Map pack positions
7
Active pack positions — was zero
All seven entered from zero during the engagement period. Includes #7 on "best restaurants in dublin city centre" — the highest-volume discovery term in this market. #1 on all branded terms.
Citation infrastructure
107
Active citations — was zero managed
Built from zero. 19 citations at DA 70+, including Google (DA 100), Apple Maps (DA 99), TripAdvisor (DA 93). These are the local algorithm signals that feed every map pack position above.
Google Business Profile · Full year 2025
766K
Total profile views
Maps Mobile
573K
75% of all views
Direction requests
19,600+
Near-confirmed visits
Total actions
73,000+
9.6% action rate
TripAdvisor
+255%
Confirmed bookings YoY
City ranking#186 of 2,878
Rank movement+100 places
Ad bookings+610%
Page visitors+114%
Organic search · 2025
+32%
Sessions YoY
Total sessions67,046
Share of all traffic72%
New users growth+25%
US visitors growth+54%
OpenTable rating
4.7
Held throughout engagement
Market benchmark: 4.5. The 0.2 rating advantage held across all three measurement periods. No-show rate 1.2% — industry average is 3–5%. 30% of covers book 14+ days in advance, consistent with growing international traffic.
The Attribution

Honest accounting
of what digital work
actually contributed.

The benchmark comparison proves the direction. Attribution converts the direction into a claim — and that claim must be stated conservatively to be credible.

Revenue attributed to digital visibility work
43×
~6,200 attributed covers × €50 floor = ~€310,000
Fixed monthly retainer  →  43× revenue return

Attribution is stated at 50% of cover growth. The restaurant's team, kitchen, and the flagship brand carried the other 50% — that half is not claimed here. 50% of +12,503 additional covers at a conservative €50 floor spend equals ~€310,000.

The actual per-cover spend is €62.99. The conservative floor understates the return. Break-even on this engagement: fewer than one evening's worth of additional covers per month. The venue exceeded that threshold in the first weeks. Everything beyond it is pure return.

Get in touch

How does your venue
compare to its
market?

A 15-minute audit call will show you exactly where you stand against the benchmark — your local OpenTable neighbourhood, your domain authority vs competitors, your map pack coverage. Whether we work together or not.

15-minute call. Benchmark report included. No commitment.